Happy new tennis year to you all! Nine German WTA players feature in the AO15 main draw, including several of the kids in without having to go through qualifying – it’s a good time to be a WTA Germans fan. Here is my traditional occasionally-regular breakdown of the draws and my thoughts on their chances.
Angelique Kerber [9]
Best AO result: R4
2015 W-L: 5-2
Draw: R1 Begu, R2 Vesnina, R3 Suarez Navarro, R4 Bouchard, QF Sharapova, SF Halep, F Serena
Thoughts: Angie has had a typically dramatic start to 2015, in keeping with the trend of her general existence. She played some good stuff in Sydney and beat a slew of talented youngsters, but the most impressive part was the way she fought through the matches when she was struggling. Angie is always at her best when she’s fighting with her whole heart. That bodes well for the early rounds of her draw at AO, which shouldn’t trouble her too much. Drawing Bouchard as early as the 4th round is really rough – they played twice in the Slams last year and both were really disappointing performances from Angie. Hoping for a closer fought match this time around. (Side note: AO is the only Slam left that Angie hasn’t made at least the QF once.)
Prediction: R4
Andrea Petkovic [13]
Best AO result: QF
2015 W-L: 0-2
Draw: R1 Brengle, R2 Kanepi, R3 Stosur, R4 Kvitova, QF Radwanska, SF Serena, F Sharapova
Thoughts: A really disappointing start to the year from Petko, especially after such a strong season in 2014. The draw hasn’t been kind either (#BadLuckPetko), considering one of those first round losses this year was to Kanepi. That said, I’d back Petko to get herself going properly this week: the Kanepi loss was a very close match and we all know what Stosur’s like in Australia. Kvitova might be tired from playing all the way to the title in Sydney this week, but she’s looked in excellent form. R4 would be a respectable run for Petko.
Prediction: R4
Sabine Lisicki [28]
Best AO result: R4
2015 W-L: 0-2
Draw: R1 Mladenovic, R2 Mattek Sands, R3 Halep, R4 Errani, QF Ivanovic, SF Sharapova, F Serena
Thoughts: Someone in Australia really does not like Sabine, huh? This is just a really rough draw. Halep in the third round is obviously the stand-out ‘ouch’, but Mladenovic is a dangerous one too. Two close 3-set losses (one to #66 Shvedova) don’t fill me with confidence in terms of Bine’s form; she really could have used a few early ‘easy’ matches here to settle herself. Then again, you never really know with Sabine, do you? I’ll err on the side of optimism.
Prediction: R3
Mona Barthel
Best AO result: R3
2015 W-L: 0-2
Draw: R1 Vekic, R2 Kvitova, R3 Dellacqua, R4 Petko, QF Radwanska, SF Serena, F Sharapova
Thoughts: Has anyone except Angie actually won any matches yet this year?! Jeez. Mona’s opened her season with two first round losses to players ranked 84 and 99 respectively, so there’s that. Kvitova second round is just plain bad luck, and Vekic is exactly the kind of talented youngster Mona so routinely loses to (see: Konjuh in Auckland two weeks ago). I tend to be overly pessimistic about Mona sometimes, but in this case I think it’s warranted.
Prediction: R1 (sorry Mona)
Annika Beck
Best AO result: R2
2015 W-L: 1-2
Draw: R1 Soler Espinosa, R2 Errani, R3 Pavlyuchenkova, R4 Halep, QF Ivanovic, SF Sharapova F Serena
Thoughts: Well at least she’s actually won a match this year, unlike most people! And those two losses came to Vinci and Halep, so let’s not be too harsh on the kid. This is actually not a bad draw for Annika. She’s ranked higher than Soler Espinosa, Errani’s had a terrible start to the year, and Pavlyuchenkova’s only played one match in 2015 – a loss to Peng. I usually allow myself one overly-optimistic out-there prediction per Slam. This AO, I’m going with bb Annika.
Prediction: R4
Julia Görges
Best AO result: R4
2015 W-L: 2-1
Draw: R1 Bencic, R2 Koukalova, R3 Ivanovic, R4 Makarova, QF Halep, SF Sharapova, F Serena
Thoughts: Julia actually had a decent week in Auckland, her only tournament so far this year. She put together two no-nonsense straightforward wins over players ranked below her (not a common occurrence these days), before losing 4&4 to Wozniacki, who looks to be in excellent form. Unfortunately the draw has not been kind to her. Bencic is obviously absurdly talented – although she did lose 3&0 to Gavrilova in her only match of 2015. We could easily be looking at a first round loss here, but I’m going to put a bit of faith in Julia for once and back her to make it through a few rounds before falling to the in-form Ivanovic.
Prediction: R3
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Best AO result: Q1
2015 W-L: 0-1
Draw: R1 Bouchard, R2 Bertens, R3 Kuznetsova, R4 Angie, QF Sharapova, SF Halep, F Serena
Thoughts: Anna-Lena lost in the first round of qualifying here last year, so the fact that she’s a direct entrant to the main draw a year later is already a pretty impressive achievement. Progress! This is the most frustrating draw of all the Germans for me, because I’m really excited about what Anna-Lena could do this year, and then she goes and gets Bouchard first round. Such grim luck. That said, playing one of the top players on a night match on MCA will be a fantastic experience for the kid and hopefully give her some idea of what she needs to work on for the rest of the year.
Prediction: R1
Carina Witthöft
Best AO result: R1
2015 W-L: 0-1
Draw: R1 Suarez Navarro, R2 McHale, R3 Angie, R4 Bouchard, QF Sharapova, SF Halep, F Serena
Thoughts: Much like Anna-Lena, I’m excited to see what kind of progress bb Carina can make this year. Obviously we expected a draw like this considering she’s still ranked outside the Top 100, and CSN should have too much experience for Carina.
Prediction: R1
Tatjana Maria
Best AO result: R2
2015 W-L: 0-1
Draw: R1 Peng, R2 Konjuh, R3 Safarova, R4 Sharapova, QF Bouchard, SF Halep, F Serena
Thoughts: Tatjana was the only WTA German to come through qualifying, beating higher ranked players along the way, so she’s already had a great AO15. Peng is the 21st seed here and will likely to be too strong for Tatjana, though.
Prediction: R1
Looking back over these predictions, it seems my naive irrepressible optimism has surfaced one again (well, apart from in Mona’s case). So I shall leave you with this apt quote: “It’s not the despair. I can take the despair. It’s the hope I can’t stand.“